2022/2023 Bowl Game Prediction Results
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Bowls correctly predicted by each ranking
listed in Kenneth Massey's last Pre-Bowl
College Football Ranking Comparison.
Each ranking is scored,
with one point for predicting each bowl winner,
except two points are given for predicting the winner of the
College Football Playoff National Championship.
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1 DCI 31.000 (30/42 i.e. 29 1)
2 ATC 30.000 (30/42 i.e. 30 0)
2 BWE 30.000 (29/42 i.e. 28 1)
4 CTW 29.000 (28/42 i.e. 27 1)
4 FPI 29.000 (28/42 i.e. 27 1)
4 KAM 29.000 (28/42 i.e. 27 1)
4 PIR 29.000 (28/42 i.e. 27 1)
8 BBT 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
8 BRN 28.000 (28/42 i.e. 28 0)
8 KFD 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
8 LAW 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
8 MAU 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
8 MDS 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
8 TRP 28.000 (27/42 i.e. 26 1)
15 BRS 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 CGV 27.000 (27/42 i.e. 27 0)
15 CHM 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 DOK 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 DWI 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 HRV 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 MOR 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 SAG 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
15 SFX 27.000 (27/42 i.e. 27 0)
15 SMS 27.000 (26/42 i.e. 25 1)
25 BCM 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 BMC 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 FEI 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 MAS 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 MRK 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 PFZ 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
25 WED 26.000 (25/42 i.e. 24 1)
32 BAS 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 DII 25.000 (25/42 i.e. 25 0)
32 DUN 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 GLD 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 HEN 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 HKB 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 HOW 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 JJK 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 KLK 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 LOG 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 MJS 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 OSC 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 RWP 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 WEL 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
32 WMV 25.000 (24/42 i.e. 23 1)
47 ARG 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 Average 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 BSS 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 COL 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 DES 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 DOL 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 ENG 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 FMG 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 Median 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 RT 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 RTP 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 STH 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
47 TSS 24.000 (23/42 i.e. 22 1)
60 BEG 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 FAS 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 JNG 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 KNT 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 LAB 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 LAZ 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 MCK 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 MvG 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 PAY 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 REW 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 S&P 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 STY 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 WIL 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
60 WLK 23.000 (22/42 i.e. 21 1)
74 BIL 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 COF 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 CQI 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 ESR 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 KRA 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 PPP 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 RME 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 RTH 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 SOR 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 VRN 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 WOB 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
74 WOL 22.000 (21/42 i.e. 20 1)
86 AND 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 BIH 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 CFR 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 HAT 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 ISR 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 KPK 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 PGH 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 RMS 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 SEL 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
86 WWP 21.000 (20/42 i.e. 19 1)
96 MB 20.000 (20/42 i.e. 20 0)
96 TPR 20.000 (19/42 i.e. 18 1)
98 RDT 13.000 (12/42 i.e. 11 1)
99 AP 12.000 (11/42 i.e. 10 1)
99 CFP 12.000 (11/42 i.e. 10 1)
99 USA 12.000 (11/42 i.e. 10 1)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
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But how do the top 25 of the rankings stack up?
Here is a bowl prediction count based solely on the
top 25 teams in each ranking
(see explanation below).
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1 COL 26.511 (25.511/42 i.e. 24.511 1)
2 WEL 26.395 (25.395/42 i.e. 24.395 1)
3 PIR 26.208 (25.208/42 i.e. 24.208 1)
4 MJS 26.058 (25.058/42 i.e. 24.058 1)
5 MAS 26.050 (25.050/42 i.e. 24.050 1)
6 PFZ 25.973 (24.973/42 i.e. 23.973 1)
7 JJK 25.885 (24.885/42 i.e. 23.885 1)
8 RT 25.884 (24.884/42 i.e. 23.884 1)
9 ARG 25.863 (24.863/42 i.e. 23.863 1)
10 KAM 25.787 (24.787/42 i.e. 23.787 1)
11 KFD 25.723 (24.723/42 i.e. 23.723 1)
11 TRP 25.723 (24.723/42 i.e. 23.723 1)
13 RTP 25.629 (24.629/42 i.e. 23.629 1)
14 DWI 25.629 (24.629/42 i.e. 23.629 1)
15 DCI 25.550 (24.550/42 i.e. 23.550 1)
15 MDS 25.550 (24.550/42 i.e. 23.550 1)
17 RDT 25.512 (24.512/42 i.e. 23.512 1)
18 FAS 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
18 Median 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
18 MvG 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
18 PAY 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
18 VRN 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
18 WMV 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
24 DOL 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
24 ISR 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
24 WOB 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
24 WOL 25.511 (24.511/42 i.e. 23.511 1)
28 MAU 25.506 (24.506/42 i.e. 23.506 1)
29 OSC 25.486 (24.486/42 i.e. 23.486 1)
30 GLD 25.477 (24.477/42 i.e. 23.477 1)
31 HOW 25.395 (24.395/42 i.e. 23.395 1)
32 STH 25.374 (24.374/42 i.e. 23.374 1)
33 LOG 25.371 (24.371/42 i.e. 23.371 1)
34 BWE 25.289 (24.289/42 i.e. 23.289 1)
35 ENG 25.285 (24.285/42 i.e. 23.285 1)
36 KRA 25.251 (24.251/42 i.e. 23.251 1)
37 RWP 25.226 (24.226/42 i.e. 23.226 1)
38 TSS 25.146 (24.146/42 i.e. 23.146 1)
39 Average 25.134 (24.134/42 i.e. 23.134 1)
39 HEN 25.134 (24.134/42 i.e. 23.134 1)
39 HKB 25.134 (24.134/42 i.e. 23.134 1)
42 DOK 25.111 (24.111/42 i.e. 23.111 1)
43 COF 24.884 (23.884/42 i.e. 22.884 1)
44 WIL 24.874 (23.874/42 i.e. 22.874 1)
45 DES 24.859 (23.859/42 i.e. 22.859 1)
46 BMC 24.840 (23.840/42 i.e. 22.840 1)
46 BRS 24.840 (23.840/42 i.e. 22.840 1)
48 FEI 24.789 (23.789/42 i.e. 22.789 1)
49 BEG 24.746 (23.746/42 i.e. 22.746 1)
50 FPI 24.723 (23.723/42 i.e. 22.723 1)
51 LAW 24.700 (23.700/42 i.e. 22.700 1)
52 USA 24.629 (23.629/42 i.e. 22.629 1)
53 DUN 24.615 (23.615/42 i.e. 22.615 1)
54 Allsame 24.614 (23.624/42 i.e. 22.634 0.990)
55 MCK 24.547 (23.547/42 i.e. 22.547 1)
56 RME 24.518 (23.518/42 i.e. 22.518 1)
57 BBT 24.512 (23.512/42 i.e. 22.512 1)
58 CQI 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
59 AND 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
59 BIH 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
59 ESR 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
59 FMG 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
63 BSS 24.511 (23.511/42 i.e. 22.511 1)
64 SMS 24.486 (23.486/42 i.e. 22.486 1)
65 ATC 24.383 (24.383/42 i.e. 24.383 0)
66 SFX 24.370 (24.370/42 i.e. 24.370 0)
67 MOR 24.351 (23.351/42 i.e. 22.351 1)
68 BAS 24.330 (23.330/42 i.e. 22.330 1)
69 CTW 24.295 (23.295/42 i.e. 22.295 1)
70 HRV 24.287 (23.287/42 i.e. 22.287 1)
70 SAG 24.287 (23.287/42 i.e. 22.287 1)
72 KLK 24.264 (23.264/42 i.e. 22.264 1)
73 AP 24.264 (23.264/42 i.e. 22.264 1)
74 CFP 24.264 (23.264/42 i.e. 22.264 1)
75 PGH 24.251 (23.251/42 i.e. 22.251 1)
76 REW 24.146 (23.146/42 i.e. 22.146 1)
77 CHM 24.134 (23.134/42 i.e. 22.134 1)
77 KPK 24.134 (23.134/42 i.e. 22.134 1)
79 BCM 23.999 (22.999/42 i.e. 21.999 1)
80 WLK 23.935 (22.935/42 i.e. 21.935 1)
81 RMS 23.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 21.874 1)
81 RTH 23.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 21.874 1)
81 SEL 23.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 21.874 1)
81 SOR 23.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 21.874 1)
81 STY 23.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 21.874 1)
86 BIL 23.859 (22.859/42 i.e. 21.859 1)
87 KNT 23.634 (22.634/42 i.e. 21.634 1)
88 HAT 23.519 (22.519/42 i.e. 21.519 1)
89 LAZ 23.511 (22.511/42 i.e. 21.511 1)
90 LAB 23.511 (22.511/42 i.e. 21.511 1)
91 BRN 23.330 (23.330/42 i.e. 23.330 0)
92 JNG 23.259 (22.259/42 i.e. 21.259 1)
93 CGV 23.232 (23.232/42 i.e. 23.232 0)
94 MRK 23.171 (22.171/42 i.e. 21.171 1)
95 PPP 23.146 (22.146/42 i.e. 21.146 1)
96 MB 22.894 (22.894/42 i.e. 22.894 0)
97 DII 22.874 (22.874/42 i.e. 22.874 0)
98 WED 22.707 (21.707/42 i.e. 20.707 1)
99 CFR 22.511 (21.511/42 i.e. 20.511 1)
100 S&P 22.226 (21.226/42 i.e. 20.226 1)
101 WWP 22.102 (21.102/42 i.e. 20.102 1)
102 TPR 21.499 (20.499/42 i.e. 19.499 1)
Scoring:
Round 1: 1 point.
Round 2: 2 points.
Top 25 of rankings only.
Games with both teams beyond 25 or teams of same rank
given a calculated partial credit.
'Average' is Massey comparison Mean ranking.
'Median' is Massey comparison Median ranking.
'Allsame' is ranking with all teams ranked equally.
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Explanation of the "top 25" bowl scoring
(This scoring is only reasonable for comparing with a ranking
that only ranks the top 25, i.e., AP, USA, CFP, and RDT.)
If at least one team in the game is ranked in the ranking's top 25,
it is clear which team the ranking chooses to win.
For all the games which a ranking's top 25 does not call in such manner,
a "most likely number of correct choices" is used,
based upon how many full rankings ranked the winner higher
for each of those games.
Wobus Sports: www.vaporia.com/sports